More Draft/Lottery/Offseason fun Pt. II

This is the second part of a two-part series of my ramblings on the Minnesota Timberwolves upcoming offseason. The first part, which you can read here, focused on the current makeup of the team and the situations they’re facing right now. In Part II, you will learn more about the options the Wolves have this summer and moves that I would personally endorse to finally turn this team into a playoff contender. Enjoy!

Have you ever started a project but realized you didn’t have the right tools to complete it?

You’re hanging up some sheetrock in a friends house. Why? I don’t know, you’re just a really nice guy. But you get there and realize everything’s in place but the sheet rock screws! DOH! You’re not about to hammer nails into it, everyone knows that, so you make the run to get the screws and come right back. But by the time you’re back and finally able to get the job done, you’ve wasted nearly an hour going back to get what you should’ve already had. Time wasted.

That’s a little bit what I think about Timberwolves right now. David Kahn did a fairly decent job of creating what we thought a winning team, a playoff team might look like. Kevin Love, Ricky Rubio, even Nikola Pekovic headline what might be a solid team with the potential of making a run in the playoffs with some rambunctious, entertaining play.

But see, Love, Rubio and Pekovic might be the tools you need to get the job started — the sheetrock, the drill and perhaps some gloves — but the Wolves are missing a big part still: “The screws.” And without those, the project won’t be finished and you’ll only be set back on time until you get them.

Welcome to 2013 and we’re finally coming back from the store. Now comes the time we finally get those screws and start building this house for the future.

Okay, enough of the poor synonyms, let’s talk about how the Wolves should move forward. In part I of my ramblings, I outlined where the Wolves are at currently and what means they might be able to fix the team moving forward.

I’ll start with the draft because that is what comes first naturally. The lottery last Tuesday revealed to us the Timberwolves hopelessness of ever moving up in the NBA Draft but that’s no matter. There are many other teams that have thrived drafting in the middle of the pack. Take Indiana for example. They’re battling against the defending champs in the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals, and if you look at their team, no one was drafted higher than DJ Augustin, who was drafted 9th by the Charlotte Bobcats back in 2008. Their newfound superstar in Paul George was taken 10th in 2010 — the same year we took Wesley Johnson.

Obviously the Wolves don’t have the same level of luck as the Pacers have found in the past 5 years but it’s more than that. It’s all about good management and understanding the value not just at your position but the whole draft. Our good friend Chad Ford has told us time and time again that this is not an earth-shattering draft in terms overwhelming talent. But that’s not to say there aren’t great players eligible that won’t make your team better immediately as long as you identify and go after them.

So who are they and will they be available at #9 and #26? Well it’s important to break down any big board by need first then value. The Wolves’ needs are clear as day: They need shooters, preferably shooting guards, and perhaps another big body to challenge Greg Stiemsma for backup center or strictly as insurance if Pekovic bolts via restricted free agency. With that, you can rattle off a few interesting names such as Ben McLemore, Victor Oladipo, Nerlens Noel, Alex Len, CJ McCullom, Shabazz Muhammed, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Anyone jump out at you besides the first three? No, I didn’t think so.

Chad Ford has the Wolves going McCullom at #9 along with countless other mocks. Why? Because it fits both need and pretty fair value too. Or does it? My biggest beef against McCullom is that he creates imbalance in our backcourt. He’s an American Alexey Shved put simply enough. He’s a stronger shooter than Shved but not as good of a playmaker and he lacks size at the 2-guard — he’s only 6-foot-3 compared to Shved’s 6’5″ frame. We need shooters but what we don’t need is another Randy Foye, which is what I see in McCullom.

So, if McCullom is the only other logical option without reaching, the Wolves are in a serious hole unless someone drops, which isn’t likely in this thin of a draft. That means it’s time to pick up the phone and either move up or out entirely. The Wolves can’t be afraid to spend too much to go get what they want/need. I believe that Oladipo is exactly the player they need at the 2-guard, so why not jump up to the top 5 to get him?

With players like Derrick Williams, Luke Ridnour and JJ Barea ready to unload, I say the Wolves make a play to move up into the top 5 to get that player they truly desire. And in a draft weak on superstar types, you have to come out with one of the players that at least  has been dubbed with potential. The trade target I see: The Phoenix Suns.

Derek outlined what it would mean to trade Derrick Williams to Charlotte, who picks 4th. But I say bypass that and send the scatter-brained Suns an offer they can’t refuse:

Minnesota receives: 5th pick in the 2013 draft
Phoenix receives: Derrick Williams, Luke Ridnour and the 9th pick in the 2013 draft

That’s a lot. I know, I get what you’re saying but hear me out. Phoenix might not be happy that they picked up our trash twice already (Bye bye, Beaz and Wes) but who’s to say Williams is trash? Because he most certainly is not. 2013-2014 will likely be his breakout season, as long as he’s in the right situation and able to thrive. And if he was in this draft, he may be vying to be a top 3 pick anyways. With no other definitive scoring options, especially at the power forward position, Phoenix can feature Williams and reap the benefits for it. Luke Ridnour is a sound point guard and an able shooter to back up Goran Dragic because Kendall Marshall clearly isn’t ready for a larger role quite yet. And the sweetener is getting our 9th pick, dropping only four slots and still in position to grab something else they need, because they certainly could use it.

That’s the kind of deal the Wolves have to make to assure they grab onto either McLemore or Oladipo and leave this draft feeling accomplished. Because, otherwise, they’ll leave feeling a little sunken with an undersized, injury-prone combo guard like McCullom (Or Foye 2.0).

A deal like that also gives them flexibility with the 26th pick. They could take a big man in preparation to Pek’s pending departure or as a leveraging tool to ship off Pek and his contract a few years down the road. A project is what those are called. Or go with an international prospect — Sergey Karasev and Giannas Adetokunbo — that we can groom along with the rest of the team. Or go with an American shooter such as Allen Crabbe from California or Tim Hardaway Jr. Hell, sell it for a couple million because that seems to be the going rate for a late first-rounder. Still, the most important part of this draft is what they can get out of that #9 pick. Remember when I said it’s all about knowing the value of your pick AND the draft. Trading up with no remorse to get your target is exactly what it means to know the value of the draft.

Once the draft is over and fans are all hyped, keep the ball rolling into free agency. Convince Andrei Kirilenko to re-up on his option. The Wolves absolutely have to keep him, even at $10 million. Another guy they need to keep is Chase Budinger. Shved got all the hype as the 2-guard of the future but it should’ve been Budinger if he didn’t get hurt. He’s long, athletic and without a doubt the best corner 3-point shooter on the team and one of the best in the league. Even with an Oladipo or McLemore on the team already at this point, I foresee Budinger being the starter for a short time and then move to sixth man once the rookies come into their own a bit more. That shifts Shved to the third or fourth guard off the bench but that might do him some good anyways.

The biggest elephant in the room in terms of free agency is obviously our beloved behemoth, Pekovic. This is a big predicament. Everyone is on one side or the other: keep him, let him go, keep him, etc. Well, not me. I’m straddling the fence and will up until the drama starts to unfold. Pekovic is a rare breed. The strongest man in the NBA has found his niche as an effective post player, great free throw shooter and a developing help defender. But there are still glaring holes in his game that don’t necessitate a max contract. It’s unfortunate that the NBA overprices restricted free agents and team’s get handcuffed because of it. A team such as Portland will show no remorse throwing max money at the undeserving Pekovic because he fits a need and the market naturally overpays RFA’s.

So what do you do? Well, unfortunately for our cap flexibility, you have to match it. But it’s not all bad. As long as they can find a big man with that 26th pick (Which is my favorite option currently) to show the ropes and carry along the way for 2-3 years and challenge Stiemer in that time, Pek and his contract will become expendable and he’ll still likely be a top 8 center in the league by then. He gets moved for younger pieces/draft picks and we hopefully have a center groomed to step in as a serviceable replacement. And in those 2-3 years we have Pek as a starter, we’ll be going to the playoffs with the fiercest man in the league and one of the only ones who can out-perform Dwight Howard or give someone like the Heat fits because they can’t defend him. It’s a win-win as long as there is that long-term plan set in place for Pek and the money he’ll be sucking in.

Other than some internal cleaning, free agency should be a breeze and relatively quiet for the Wolves. There’s no need to go out and overpay anyone to come in; we’re already doing that with AK and Pek. Like I’ve said a thousand times, this roster has playoff-caliber talent, all they need is to stay healthy and perform to their abilities. I can’t recognize any free agent in a valuable price range that can come in and help this team any better than what Budinger, AK and Pek could do if they just stay home. Keep it easy on yourself.

Obviously there are plenty more options for the Wolves to look at but I’ve exhausted ways they could draft, trade and sign free agents to keep the team intact but still get better. The opportunities, especially trades, will open up and become more apparent once the playoffs finish and things start shifting, phones start ringing and activity picks up. Flip and the Wolves just have to realize that a lot of what they want is already in-house and the other targets have to be aggressively sought out in the draft by moving up to get them. If this is really the time they want to make their move, you have to go get it and not sit back hoping something right just falls into your lap. The league doesn’t work like that, life doesn’t work like that. To make your mark, it takes some careful consideration but a quick trigger.

Again, I just want to elaborate that these are my own opinions and ideas. I hope they stir up some feelings inside of you and spark a little bit of discussion. Feel free to discuss with us on here in the comments or feel free to tweet at me: @Howlintwolf.

More Draft/Lottery/Offseason fun Pt. I

I have a lot of built up thoughts on the upcoming offseason and they got kicked off with last night’s Draft Lottery. This is the first piece identifying the current situation and makeup of the Timberwolves heading into the offseason. The second part will highlight moves that I want to see done and what should/could go down. Also be sure to read Derek’s pieces on last night’s draft lottery both here and here. Enjoy!

I look up to Chad Ford.

That might sound a bit ridiculous to be inspired by a reporter, who really just makes a living on judging young kids far beyond their basketball acumen to give the general public a small glimpse into the world of basketball talent evaluation. I mean, if you really ponder things, what would ESPN be like if Chad Ford wasn’t real? You probably wouldn’t know any end-of-first-round hopefuls or second-round squeezes. You might not even be able to judge the lottery potentials, depending on your college basketball knowledge.

But all that doesn’t really matter, right? With no Chad Ford, you probably would’ve still woken up and stumbled out of bed this morning, the dawn after the NBA Draft Lottery. You’re likely going through your day without any major hiccups. And there’s a very good chance you lay your head back down to your cool pillow later tonight, still breathing, still living.

Enter Chad Ford in between those events, though; from the moment you woke up, to your general work day to the time you lay back to bed, Chad Ford is there to fill in the gaps.

For the next month, we all have the honor to live out our days and check into Chad Ford’s meddling in the NBA Draft. The day after the Draft Lottery, where we saw the Timberwolves stay put, while two other teams soared into the top 3, Chad Ford released his first official mock draft, where teams are solid on their position — for now, that is.

Here’s what he has the Wolves doing as of today:

Screen Shot 2013-05-22 at 11.47.48 AM Screen Shot 2013-05-22 at 11.47.21 AM

 

Things haven’t changed much since Ford’s last mock prediction. McCullom still seems to be everyone’s prediction for the Timberwolves, who are now slated in the ninth slot in the lottery. There’s a few reasons to this. One is that everyone believes that McCullom will without a doubt be available at that spot. That’s most likely true but seeing that he is one of the best shooters in this draft, his draft stock could rise quickly by the time it comes to draft. Secondly, McCullom is coming off a broken foot that sidelined him for the bulk of his senior year at Lehigh. He’s healthy now and apparently feeling well, but he hasn’t played college basketball since January 1st, which is always alarming.

As for Ford’s prediction on the 26th pick, I can’t tell you a damn thing about Mr. Sergey Karasev. Ford says he’s a tremendous shooter from Russia, which could help him make the transition easy. But odds are this kid isn’t ready for NBA competition quite yet or may not be that helpful for a little while.

As I said earlier, Ford makes his living by simply guessing who should go where in the NBA Draft. It’s an educated-guessing game at best but still keeps all of us intrigued. The biggest issue I have with any mock draft is that you can’t prepare for the prospect of trades or free agency thoughts or overall roster moves that a team is already scheming up long before the Draft Lottery takes place.

The Wolves now have Flip Saunders at the helm in place of David Kahn. The first thing any new GM does with a team is make their mark and steer the ship into their direction. That usually means firing a coach or tweaking the roster a bit — or a lot. Well, as long as he doesn’t retire, Rick Adelman will be back. Saunders can’t fire a hall of fame coach, who actually has enjoyed his time with a below-average squad. That leaves roster changes. Kahn gets credit for actually compiling a strong roster only to see it ravaged with injuries all season long, which is why we’re in this predicament in the first place. But you can’t argue that there are some great pieces left on this team.

There are still gaping holes, though. The back-up point guard position is sort of a mess. JJ Barea had a better showing last season than his first in Minnesota but it was still riddled with minor injuries and overall inconsistent performances. We have to start thinking that Luke Ridnour will slow down due to age but was one of our top shooters last season, so that’s not an easy evaluation to make.

Alexey Shved; is he really the shooting guard of our future? He can shoot and handle the ball exceptionally well. But he’s got a long ways to go and isn’t nearly as young as many might think.

Beyond Kevin Love, they have no true 3-point threat. Chase Budinger is starting to look like a must-sign in free agency because of his accuracy from deep and overall versatility. Derrick Williams, I mean, he showed glimpses of a great forward with inside-out skills and enough of a scoring punch to be the second best option on most teams in this league. But he doesn’t have a true position and he’s never going to see minutes ahead of Love.

Nikola Pekovic still needs to be resigned or let go via sign-and-trade this summer. The general consensus is that the Wolves will do all they can to keep him here but there are ridiculous prices on the restricted free agent’s head that may hedge off any match Flip and the Wolves are willing to dish out.

There are pieces abundant and pieces missing but I am confident that Flip Saunders can turn this current team into a playoff contender without drastically changing the makeup. But there are a few things I’d like to see done this offseason from utilizing trades, free agency and the draft.

PART II COMING SOON

A Few Ping-Pong Balls Short of a Lottery

The title of this post is basically a warning to you that I know very little about this draft still, but still have enough knowledge of the lottery/draft and the Timberwolves’ situation to make penning some thoughts worth everyone’s time. Or at least I hope it is. If not, I’m sure both Tom and Jonah will have some thoughts for you guys. Still, there’s lots of ways they could go with this pick and you have to remember they are in a different position than they were at this time last year. Heck, they’re in a position as a team that they haven’t been in since I started high school and that was like a decade ago. *gulp*

A lot of fans on Twitter are saying trade the pick. Which is probably what I would do, but I would trade the pick altogether instead of trying to trade up since the likelihood of being able to move into position for Ben McLemore or Victor Oladipo is pretty unlikely. Moving up also likely means having to take back a bad contract or give up a valuable asset, which for a team like the Timberwolves vying for a playoff spot may not be the best idea.

The other reason it makes sense to move both the 9th and 26th picks if they’re not blown away by anything left on the board or a great offer comes by them is that they don’t need to get younger. They also don’t need a skinny project big or an athletic wing player still trying to work out that hitch in his jumper. The Timberwolves are still a win-now team that may need a backup center and shooting two-guard, but they need those types to be NBA-ready and cheap, too. If they think they can find that at nine and twenty-six, great, but they sure don’t need both and Flip even admitted as much after the lottery they don’t need two more 20-year olds on the roster.

Ideally, they’d be able to move the picks like last year for an established player, but there are not a plethora of teams with talented, cheap, and young players they are willing to part with for a draft pick.

If they do keep the picks, they’re likely out of position for any wings that could make an immediate impact or bigs at the same stage of development. That leaves the Timberwolves to choose from point guards (which they don’t need) and small forwards, which might work better if  they can land a combo 2-3. According to Jerry Zgoda the Timberwolves have already met with UCLA’s Shabazz Muhammad and Ohio State’s Deshaun Thomas, who gets props for not having me capitalize the “Shaun” in his name. As for point guards, the Timberwolves have been looking to move one of Luke Ridnour and JJ Barea since the last trade deadline, and…and…ok, I really can’t see them taking one with four players on the current roster capable of playing the position, so they’d have to move one.

That’s all I have for now, but I really can’t see them keeping both picks and I think we all know that they will be listening to offers for the 9th pick. Now, time to go bone up on this draft because I really need to learn more about the mid-lottery.

 

Bobcats 101: Why a Derrick Williams to Charlotte Trade Makes Little Sense

As many of you reading this probably know, I took up covering the Charlotte Bobcats for SB Nation’s Rufus on Fire this season in addition to my work here and at Hardwood Paroxysm. Even when I first started at Rufus I always saw Bobcats fans clamoring for Derrick Williams. And tonight I’m seeing Timberwolves fans trying to figure out how they can trade Derrick to Charlotte to get the number four pick. Clearly these two fan bases have one thing in common: They know nothing about the other team. But since we’re a Timberwolves blog I’m going to talk about why the Bobcats wouldn’t do it– consider this Bobcats 101 or something.

 

First off, let’s examine the Bobcats’ roster a little since I received many questions about this.

PG: Kemba Walker/Ramon Sessions

SG: Gerald Henderson/Ben Gordon

SF: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/Henderson

PF: Byron Mullens/Bismack Biyombo/Josh McRoberts/Jeff Adrien

C: Brendan Haywood/Mullens/Gana Diop (You don’t know what this was like, you don’t know the things I’ve seen!)

At first glance you may notice that many players  on this list are relatively undersized for their position, especially in the backcourt. In fact, the Bobcats played small quite frequently all year. Secondly, Kemba and MKG were lottery picks in recent years, so they’re not going to add another player at their position to take minutes away from them. Third, they’re thin on depth at the four and five, and they were also a very poor shooting team.

Detach from the Timberwolves fan mindset for a minute and think, do you think Derrick Williams would help this team? No, he’s an under-sized tweener-forward that is also a recent lottery pick. This isn’t to say that I don’t think Derrick has a purpose, because he does, it just isn’t best-realized the Bobcats. And since it takes two sides to make a deal, this is a problem.

Certainly, the Bobcats would not like to cut into the precious minutes needed for MKG to develop, but Derrick and MKG both thrived in similar areas this season according to MySynergySports:

- In pick ‘n’roll man situations Williams posted .98 points per possession (“PPP”; 1.00 being average) to MKG’s .94 PPP.

- Hand-off plays: Williams: 1.11 PPP v.s. MKG: 1.18

- In plays as the cutter: Williams: 1.06 vs MKG: 1.19

- Off of offensive rebounds: Williams: 1.03 vs MKG: 1.18

- In transition, each player posted 1.18 ppp as well.

If you think their strengths are similar, they each have similar weaknesses, too. It’s kind of weird.

- Both were terrible post-up players this past season, meaning that they could not play together from a skill set standpoint, as well as each player being 6’7-6’8 and 230 pounds. Williams averaged .71 ppp to MKG’s .76 ppp and each player shot under forty percent on those plays.

- Neither player was particularly strong trying to create in ISO situations, evidenced by Williams’ .64 ppp to MKG’s .83

- Nor was either player very good working off of screens, since Williams’ .73 ppp in those situations was about .30 points higher than MKG’s. This is surprising because Williams rated as average-to-above average in pick n rolls, but maybe those two things are completely unrelated and I’m only imagining there should be a correlation.

And here’s a chart from Basketball-Reference.com:

Chart courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com
Chart courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com

See, see?! Even with the most basic statistical metrics show they are very similar, with neither player really showing that they’re truly better than the other. Although, considering MKG was the youngest player in his draft class, and his defensive ability not reflected by stats that take into team effort like Defensive Rating, it may be fair to say that MKG would be more worth the Bobcats’ time right now. Especially since MKG is currently a better passer and has a more defined position than “off-of-the-bench-scorer.”

And since you couldn’t play them together either, a trade to Charlotte makes no sense. As far as size go, the Bobcats need more in the frontcourt. Diop, Mullens and Haywood are each seven-feet, but Diop is retiring; Mullens is Mullens; and Haywood is unlikely to be a long-term fixture. The next tallest player is McRoberts at 6’10 before the rest of their centers and power forwards check in between 6’9 and 6’7. Derrick being listed around 6’8-6’9 does not help them, and as we covered above, he would play behind MKG at the three. They need length and size at the 4-5, and Derrick just doesn’t help them with that need.

For now, Derrick is better suited with the Timberwolves. He’s an average rebounder, has a low turnover percentage and now exerts some energy on defense. With the Timberwolves, he can be a successful player because of his productivity in pick n rolls and while he isn’t exactly great in them, he can spot up well enough while he continues to improve his shot. So, Williams has a role on this team and dealing him for an unknown commodity like a 19-year old rookie who may wind up glued to the end of Rick Adelman’s bench.

It’s more likely that if they do make a move it will be one of JJ Barea and Luke Ridnour, but Flip did not sound optimistic about their ability to package one of those players with the nine pick to move up.

Chad Ford’s Mock Draft 2.0

Chad Ford released the second version of his infamous NBA Mock Drafts (ESPN Insider article). Here’s what he’s got coming for the Wolves:

Screen Shot 2013-05-08 at 4.55.27 PM

 

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Not bad. But I gotta admit, seeing CJ McCollum, the high-volume shooting guard from Lehigh, who sat more than half of the season with a left foot injury, in the top ten is awfully depressing. It only pays testament to how poor this draft is towards the top. And it doesn’t get much better in the 20′s with the Wolves slotted to take Giannis Adetokunbo. International prospects scare everyone because of their mystique and unfamiliarity to fans. I will state that Adetokunbo and Dario Saric are two of my favorite international prospects in this whole draft, and getting our hands on one of them would be nice.

Although the Wolves address two needs with both of these picks, they’re just not very sexy. Sexy will undoubtedly be difficult to come by but some picks (Saric, Glen Rice Jr., Shabazz Muhammed and Gorgui Dieng) radiate on the surface just a little bit more, even if they’re not completely polished.

Kiss your mother, David Kahn is gone

Per ESPN 1500:

According to NBA.com, Minnesota Timberwolves president of basketball operations David Kahn has been fired.

But here’s the twist…

Flip Saunders will likely replace him.

Woah, woah, woah. Hold the phone. You’re telling me that the man who was looking to become the Golden Gophers head coach after flunking out of Washington  a few years ago is now going to be running the roster?! Is this really any better than what Kahn did while in control?

Hell yes.

I already highlighted what Bill Simmons had to say about Kahn’s tenure in Minnesota. And perhaps it was my piece (At least I’d like to think so) that caught Glen Taylor’s eye and swayed his decision that seemed to already be made just a few weeks ago. I can’t blame Taylor for considering picking up Kahn’s option. On paper, the Wolves have a good team, without a doubt, a potential bottom four playoff squad — That would likely get ousted in the first round but that’s another matter. And some of Kahn’s moves in the moment looked sly and all-around exciting. Now that we’re in the middle of playoffs, you can now bet on NBA Playoffs, odds are already available at Top Bet.

But when you break down the tape, Kahn is a historically awful drafter and completely botched his relationship with the team’s best player, Kevin Love. His job was essentially taken over when he brought in Rick Adelman to do double duties, which was perhaps his worst move in the end because it proved that Kahn was replaceable over the last two seasons.

Moving forward, though, I can’t help but be a little worried about the Flip Saunders hiring. What does Adelman and Saunders’ chemistry look like? Or could this very well mean the ending of Adelman’s era as well? He has struggled with deciding on whether or not to stay as head coach since his wife started having complications with her health. Kahn’s departure would tell me that Adelman may be more inclined to stay, but his predecessor, Saunders, takes that inkling right away. Taylor’s plan may be to appoint Flip, let him choose a new coach with this sound roster in place, and then sell the team in 2-3 years. I can only hope that that’s not the case but if it’s Adelman’s decision to leave on his own for the welfare of his family, than that’s pretty hard to argue over.

Only time will tell exactly what’s going to come of this report. But we can all officially celebrate. So raise your glass and sing it with me, “THIS ONE’S TO JONNY FLYNN!”

Bill Simmons has done it again

One of my favorite writers of all time and editor-in-chief on perhaps the greatest lifestyle/sports blogs on the inter webs, has a knack for bashing David Kahn.

Bill Simmons has a serious grudge against Kahn but still claims he respects him. How can someone respect somebody that he repeatedly shreds? If people took Simmons 100% serious in every article, Kahn would have no problem in suing for slander … Or would he?

I take no issue with bashing a NBA executive but only with the proper warrants. So when Simmons attacks Kahn under the proposition for being a bad general manager by using his decisions as an example for exactly why he’s a bad executive, I see no problem with it. At all.

The face of the matter is that Kahn exactly is that, a poor general manager (His real title is President of Basketball Operations. Ooh, fancy). Coming up on yet another important offseason, this one, in particular, holds extreme importance. The one making all the decision upstairs — Or is he? — is up for a contract extension to see whether or not he can finally, officially turn this team around for the better. We all know it was another awful season but there are glimmers of hope with the current makeup of this team.

But when a writer such as Simmons can just so easily piece this together:

The Timberwolves turned a potential Rubio/Curry/Lawson windfall into just Rubio (who didn’t come to Minnesota for two extra years); two years of Flynn (played in Australia last year); backup guard Malcolm Lee; three injury-plagued years and more than $15 million of damaged goods (Webster and Roy); and nearly $6 million of Webster/Milicic buyouts. They also briefly had and lost Motiejunas (a promising rotation guy for Houston), Parsons (no. 48 on the trade value list), Mirotic (Chicago’s best prospect overseas) and Cole (a rotation guy for a 66-win team); and they have Memphis’s 2013 first-rounder (near the bottom of a dreadful draft) and Brooklyn’s 2013 second-rounder to show for their troubles.

Then it might be time to re-think the direction of things. Glen Taylor needs to think long and hard, and consider just who else might be available if Kahn doesn’t return. Hell, just think of who could be a lot happier (Kevin Love, Rick Adelman, everybody, etc.) if Kahn were gone for good.

With that, I have to succumb to the influence of my influencer: Bill Simmons. Take things he writes with a grain of salt because all is in the best mind of entertaining the reader. But this, this right here, this is a bandwagon worth jumping into. FIRE DAVID KAHN.

Minnesota Timberwolves Draft Prospect: Otto Porter

Otto Porter, Georgetown University
Position:Height:Weight:Birthday:Rankings:
Small Forward6-822006/03/1993
(19 Years Old)
ESPN: #8
Draft Express: #7
CBS Sports: #4

Positives: There are a lot of teams for whom Otto Porter would be a heck of a draft pick. For instance: Any team that needs a very large body who can play well out of a pick-and-pop would be well served with Porter. Any team that needs a player who scored 1.53 points per possession off the dribble in college would be well served with Porter. Any team that wants a potential game-changer defensively — a 7’1 wingspan and the ability to close out on perimeter jumpshooters — would be well served with Porter. Anybody who wants a smart basketball player with great passing instincts would be well served with Porter.

Unfortunately, I don’t think the Timberwolves are that team.

That being said, Porter is a fun prospect. He has never played AAU ball, so he was mostly unheralded before the season. But it’s pretty clear how well his game might translate to the NBA. His mid-range game is very efficient. He does most of his rebounding below the rim, and his defensive instincts are quite good, which counteracts his lack of athleticism. There are a lot of stretch-4s in the NBA at this point, but it’s not hard to imagine Porter easily fitting into that mold, given his size, wingspan and skillset.

Negatives: While many of the stretch-4s entering the league are also extremely gifted athletically (for example: Derrick Williams), Porter is neither particularly strong nor athletic. His lateral quickness makes scouts wonder what he can contribute defensively, especially as a small forward, and his 200-pound 6’8 frame will get bumped around in the NBA. He makes up for this by being a very hard worker, but he will need to add pounds of muscle to be successful at the next level.

Porter also struggles to shoot from deep range. As a small forward, he will need to expand his range to the 3-point line, and it wouldn’t hurt for him to expand it even as a power forward. That said, competent shooting is one of the easier skills to teach for NBA coaches. So while Porter would probably be a project offensively, it’s certainly possible (probable, even?) that he will get to a point where he can be effective from behind the 3-point line.

Bottom Line: Porter is a bit of an investment, since he will need to add muscle and as much athleticism as the NBA can teach. He will also need to expand his range. But Porter is still very young, and every indicator points to his motor being good enough to make him an effective player.

An effective player, mind you, who doesn’t play for Minnesota.

Timberwolves Fit: No bueno. Although Porter could become a solid small forward or stretch-4, the Wolves need neither. What they need is a good shooting guard and a back-up center, and someone who will help them win immediately. Porter fits none of those categories, particularly the latter. Minnesota is playing to keep their stars, most notably Rubio and Love. On a young team that’s a couple of years away from competing in the playoffs, Porter might make a lot of sense. But for a Wolves team that wants to make a solid playoff run as soon as possible, Porter would be a bad move.

Follow Tom on Twitter: @Tom_NBA.

Report: Tracy McGrady Will Not Play Against the Timberwolves

This is the closest you’ll get to seeing T-Mac in a Spurs uniform. (Photo from DimeMag)

I know you were thinking it, because I was too. After finally winning 30 games again and getting win number 1,000 for Rick Adelman, there wasn’t much incentive left to watch the season finale other than not being able to watch Timberwolves basketball for another six months. Then the Spurs signed former scoring champ Tracy McGrady for the rest of the season and suddenly we had a reason. Or so we thought.

 

Aw, really Pop? How are you going to take this away from us? Yes, I know he hasn’t had a chance to get familiar with his teammates yet, but how many of us are really familiar with Aron Bynes? I mean, McGrady did play in China this season, so it’s not like he can be that out of shape, either. Maybe because he played in China means that you want to save him for the playoffs considering his injury history.

But the Timberwolves will get Manu for at least a little bit, who is returning from a nine game absence to probably play just enough to get a few game minutes and then rest. And you gotta figure that it would be more detrimental to the Spurs’ playoff chances if something happened to Manu versus McGrady.

Ok, so my whining won’t get McGrady onto the court tonight, but Manu in, T-Mac out for in San Antonio as the Timberwolves close out their season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Draft Prospect: Shabazz Muhammad

030213-CBK-Shabazz-Muhammad-LA-PI_20130302234425885_660_320
Shabazz Muhammed, UCLA

 

Position:Height:Weight:Birthday:Rankings:
Small Forward6-822006/03/1993
(19 Years Old)
ESPN: #8
Draft Express: #7
CBS Sports: #4

Positives: You wanna talk about wingspan? It may not appear that a 6’6 small forward is an overly special thing, but a 6’6 small forward with a 6’11 1/4 wingspan is a special thing. Coupled with his athleticism, this could make him a good defender some day. Notice how I said “someday”? The knock on Muhammad is that he gives an inconsistent effort on defense, like another Bruin we all know and Love (See what I did there?), but that effort is apparently determined by his performance on offense, which tells me that he’s a young player who needs a coach to ingrain that defensive mindset in him regardless. So, to me, having that room to grow despite not being a good defender now is a positive. And if Rick Adelman could get Derrick Williams to exert some energy on defense with fewer physical tools, then he could with Muhammad — I hope.

Of course, the big thing about Muhammad is his ability as a scorer and his ability as a spot-up shooter; the latter of which could be of especially great value to the Timberwolves. While he may not be a strong pick and roll player now, playing next to Ricky Rubio will either make him work to improve that, or not and be a less than ideal fit. Still, he’s an above average college shooter, which tells me he can at least be an average NBA shooter and with the Timberwolves being a below-average shooting team, that would be an upgrade.

He also happens to be a decent rebounder for his position, which isn’t guaranteed to translate to the NBA, but if he has the instincts and the physical tools that could very well carry over to the next level.

Negatives: Well, there is his defense, but that is fixable. He also doesn’t make a ton of plays for others, but if he’s going to play for Rick Adelman he is going to have to or he won’t play. Ideally, the combination of playing with superior teammates against opponents with superior talent and physical ability will force him to be less-selfish at times. However, given his age I don’t see anything here that isn’t fixable, which is encouraging.

I’m also not worried about his lone tournament performance. It’s a small sample size against inferior competition, with inferior teammates, and every player has bad games.

Bottom Line: Muhammad is a young player who has strong offensive skills and is also a quality rebounder for his position. However, he does have a lot of room to grow, but certainly can as long as he is willing to work and lands in the right fit and system.

Timberwolves Fit: If Adelman returns to the bench this could be a great place for him to improve his passing, defense, and expand his offensive game. Currently, he would work great with the second unit as a scorer, but I am curious how he would perform next to a high-usage player like Kevin Love, especially being one himself. As I said above, the Timberwolves could use a strong spot up shooter to knock down shots, something they missed (no pun intended) this season.

If everything goes right, Muhammad could be a steal at the Timberwolves’ draft slot.