Last season, I was at the Target Center for Minnesota’s game against the New Orleans Hornets. I’ll admit: when opposing teams with superstars come to Minneapolis, during warmups, I often wander down as close to the court as I can get to see Blake Griffin, LeBron James, or Derrick Rose take meaningless, half-hearted jumpshots and occasionally (if I’m lucky) throw down a ridiculous dunk. In this case, I wanted to see the best pure point guard since Isiah Thomas; I wanted to be as close to Chris Paul as possible.
Yeah, I’m That Guy.
But I was attending this game with my sister, who wanted to go watch the home team. *Fiiiiinnneeee.* So we made our way over to the T-Wolves tunnel to watch the players pass below. As Jonny Flynn finished his shoot-around, and walked (was it a walk? Flynn seems more to bounce in his movements) towards us, he stopped to sign some autographs. An adorable little blond haired girl, sporting a tiny Flynn jersey, blue and green hair pieces, and Timberwolves logos painted on her cheeks called shyly “Hi Jonny!” Flynn looked up, slightly startled, then cracked a huge grin and waved, before disappearing into the tunnel.
My sister may or may not have melted and fallen in love with Jonny Flynn from that moment on. And she wasn’t the first person attending a Timberwolves game to do so.
Yeah, I’m looking at you. Admit it. Before it was cool to hate on Jonny Flynn and call him the worst point guard in the league, you loved him too. Remember when we were all excited about him, and the comparisons were running WAY out of control? I heard Kevin Johnson. I heard Tim Hardaway. I heard Chris Paul. (REALLY GUYS?!!) Flynn was young, confident as hell, and ready to take on the NBA from around most players’ navels, and we were ready to embrace him every step of the way.
We were wrong, unfortunately. Flynn was not, and almost certainly will never be a point guard of Kevin Johnson or Tim Hardaway’s caliber. He definitely won’t ever be Chris Paul. In fact, most people are writing off Flynn as a total bust already, despite that fact that A) He’s only 22 years old B) His horrendous numbers from this past year (3.4/2.1 assist to turnover ratio per 36 minutes, 7.1 PER, 36% from the field) can be partially explained by an injured hip and, after his recovery, very bruised confidence and of course C) HE’S ONLY 22 YEARS OLD!
Flynn’s detractors, and they are many, will point to one stat in particular, and it is a troubling one: his turnovers. According to Basketball Reference, Jonny Flynn’s turnover percentage, the amount of times he turned it over per 100 possessions, was 26.5% this season, meaning that when Flynn touched the ball, he turned it over more than a fourth of the time. If you aren’t aware how terrible that is, especially from the point guard position, you should be reading a different blog. But again, this season’s awful numbers can be partially explained by his injury, and by his shattered confidence as Kurt Rambis pushed him deeper and deeper down the depth chart. And looking at Flynn’s ROOKIE season, his turnover percentage was much lower, 17.9%.
Some turnover percentage numbers to chew on:
Steve Nash’s 2nd NBA season: 24.2%
Chauncey Billups 2nd NBA season: 18.1%
Jason Kidd’s Rookie Season: 20.1%
Please don’t misunderstand me. I’m not trying to say that Jonny Flynn will ever be as efficient as Steve Nash, or Chauncey Billups, or Jason Kidd. We went through that phase as Minnesota fans already. What I AM saying is that it would be ridiculous to entirely give up on a young player based solely off the fact that he had a bad sophomore season…while recovering from an injury. Young players often struggle, especially young players in a bad situation, with the wrong coaching. Ask Chauncey Billups how he fared when he first entered the league, playing under Rick Pitino for a terrible Boston Celtics team. (Spoiler alert: it wasn’t pretty.)
So if we can agree, as Timberwolf fans, to move past the unreasonable comparisons, maybe it’s time we hoped for a more feasible ceiling for Jonny Flynn (ie: not Tim Hardaway and not Chris Paul). How does JJ Barea strike you?
Barea is, at the moment, clearly a better shooter and less turnover prone than Flynn. But that’s why it’s called a ceiling: it’s what we would like to see Jonny become. Both players mix passing and shooting well. Both possess excellent athleticism and court vision. Both are dominant ball handlers, who may or may not dribble a little too much. Both players claim to be 6’0, making both more full of crap than a Port-A-Potty at Woodstock.
But lets dig into some basic numbers a little more. Take a look at some statistics from Barea and Flynn’s respective rookie seasons.
|Per 36 Min||Points||Assists||Turnovers||Field Goal %||3 Point %|
The only statistical category in which Barea bests Flynn early in their careers is turnovers, as Flynn averaged almost an entire turnover more per 36 minutes. But with the knowledge that both players have similar athletic skill-sets, from reading those specific statistics, it doesn’t seem to be a stretch to say that Flynn could be as effective, if not more effective, than JJ Barea at some point in his career.
Success in the NBA is all about the situation you are placed in, and Barea has been placed in an ideal situation in Dallas. He has several other extremely dangerous offensive options distracting opposing defenses, including a pack of shooters who effectively spread the floor, allowing him to get into the lane for all those little BS layups he keeps stealing. (Not that I’m complaining, thanks JJ for helping knock off Miami!)
At this point, it sounds very unlikely that Jonny Flynn will be given the chance to find success in Minnesota. Flynn’s name has been thrown around in Timberwolves trade rumors more than anyone else, and if he were to be traded, my sister and a very cute little blond girl would both be very sad. Honestly, I too would love to see him succeed in a T-Wolves uniform. But even more than that, I’d argue that at this point, trading Flynn is an impractical decision. After his abysmal season, Flynn has submarined his trade value so much that the majority of SB Nation sites reporting that their team is involved in Jonny Flynn trade talks are submerged in impassioned requests not to trade for him.
So I ask: considering that your other options for Rubio’s backup this season are Sebastian Telfair and Luke Ridnour, what would it hurt to hang on to Flynn? It could do wonders to give him some healthy, quality minutes (hopefully under a new coach, and in a new offensive system), and try to build his confidence back up. Minnesota (and the rest of the NBA) might find they have a better player than they realized just as Dallas did with Barea’s growth.
And Jonny? Keep smiling. My sister says it’s a very good look on you.